Current climate changes in the Arctic

The properties of climate fluctuations are described, obtained as a result of a special statistical analysis of observational data from the world meteorological network of stations, taking into account the peculiarities of the northern regions. Using the example of air temperature, free and forced fluctuations of the characteristics of the climate system in their interaction are considered. New ideas about the structure of fluctuations and possible causes of climate changes have been formulated. A statistical model of periodic nonstationarity of climate is proposed for forecasting climate fluctuations for two decades, and a model for seasonal and monthly meteorological forecasts with an annual lead time is proposed. The practical significance of predictive developments is especially great in the harsh climatic conditions of the north, where the climate is one of the limiting factors of the industrial development of the northern regions.

География
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ID: 60aa8db7e4dde500012eebec
UUID: 696f4ca0-9e18-0139-2fbf-0242ac180005
Язык: Английский
Опубликовано: почти 3 года назад
Просмотры: 2

10.14

Александр Королев

Белгородский государственный университет - национальный исследовательский университет (НИУ «БелГУ»)


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